*FIRST PRESEASON PLAY FOR FRIDAY!!*

[markymark+]

Really not much into deep info with these preseason games as there really isn't much to look at, so I'm keeping it simple this preseason by using one theory that's made decent profit over the last two seasons: Taking the teams with new head coaches every game (unless of course they play head to head). Last year it went 12-8 60% and in 2002 it went 11-5 69%. This year it's 2-1 so far with the Redskins, Bears, and a loser with the Falcons. So, pretty much I'll be going with these teams along with some others the whole preseason....today's "new coach theory" play:

New York Giants -3


GL! RS

 

[olddog]

A trend with only two years worth of data is dangerous. Maybe somebody has several years worth of info on this verifying it works year-in and year-out. In general, a trend that goes 60+% two years in a row could easily go 40% the next two years. Also, if I dug around I bet I could find two-three stronger trends favoring KC tonite.

I think pre-season can be capped if you can get info, esp on QB rotations, how long starters are going to be in the game, coach's motivation, etc.

Good luck - I hope the trend holds up this year.

 

[markymark+]

Winner! 34-24.

Until tomorrow.......